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  1. #1
    Gadi Evron
    CAIDA analysis on CME-24/BlackWorm
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    CAIDA analysis on CME-24/BlackWorm

    The analysis can be found here:
    http://www.caida.org/analysis/security/blackworm/

    As usual, CAIDA's people have done amazing work.

    Gadi.

  2. #2
    Nick FitzGerald
    CAIDA analysis on CME-24/BlackWorm
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    Re: CAIDA analysis on CME-24/BlackWorm

    Gadi Evron wrote:

    > As usual, CAIDA's people have done amazing work.


    I'd particularly like to highlight this para from the Conclusions
    section of their paper:

    However headlines such as 'File-destroying worm causes little
    damage' belie a major portion of the cost of viruses like Nyxem. How
    many hours of time were spent trying to identify and notify owners
    of infected computers? How many hours of system administrator time,
    professional or otherwise, were spent disinfecting compromised
    machines? While lost data may affect only a subset of infected
    computers, every infected machine must be repaired at significant
    temporal and monetary cost. Further, it seems unwise to downplay the
    effects of the virus while it continues to spread. Most antivirus
    products now protect against Nyxem, but without the media coverage
    and active mitigation attempts, computers infected in the future
    seem more likely to lose data as the worm deletes files on the third
    day of every month.

    ....and remind you all that, "way back when", CIH (the first, and IMNSHO
    almost only, virus whose payload was really worth being concerned
    about) had its biggest hit on the _second_ instance of its (date-based)
    payload triggering.

    In CIH's case that was actually just slightly more than a year after it
    was discovered. There were variants with monthly (day-of-month) based
    payload triggers, but by far the single most common variant (the one
    that got a massive distribution kick from infecting the organized
    underground warez scene) had an annual, single-date trigger.

    The international warez distribution channel, plus quite a few magazine
    cover CD distributions (all "tested virus free" of course, but don't
    get me started on that...) plus a few infected commercial software
    releases, all ensured that CIH had pretty much reached every corner of
    the globe by its first annual trigger date. The ensuing failure to
    properly clean-up after the small-ish hit of the initial BIOS-overwrite
    payload trigger date (and in many cases failure to improve quality
    assurance and system integrity management processes -- can we say "re-
    installing new machines from the same infected, pirated CDs/sources as
    caused the first machines to be trashed"?; yep, some folk _are_ that
    stupid) saw CIH's second "anniversary" produce a much larger hit,
    because it had a whole year to build up its infection base, rather than
    the likely few weeks it had between it's initial release and first
    trigger date (we don't know the initial release date with any
    certainty, but given the pattern of infection on magazine cover CDs, a
    little can be inferred about its likely release).

    Of course, despite being a very fast on-host replicator (being a fast-
    infecting, parasitic PE infector), normally CIH should have been a much
    slower _spreader_ than a mass-mailing Email worm like CME-24, as CIH
    had no deliberate distribution mechanisms and, perhaps luckily, it also
    could not infect the .EXE of the only binary self-mailer that existed
    at that time, Win95/Ska (aka "Happy99").

    So, don't take "little apparent effect" from the "expected" payload hit
    of CME-24 as a "damp squib" -- hope like hell that means the efforts to
    mitigate its effects were successful, else next month we quite likely
    will have a great deal more victims (though they may not be any more
    visible for all the reasons this month's lot are not publicly
    identified/identifiable).

    I guess this might be an apposite point at which to wheel out that
    corny old aphorism about those who have forgotten [or failed to learn]
    the lessons of history, but as computer science in general, and comp-
    sec in particular, in its geek-oid rush to be at the bleeding edge of
    change seems to put so little value in teaching (or learning) its
    history, I expect the effect would be lost...


    --
    Nick FitzGerald
    Computer Virus Consulting Ltd.
    Ph/FAX: +64 3 3267092


  3. #3
    sebber75@ifrance.com
    CAIDA analysis on CME-24/BlackWorm
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    Re: CAIDA analysis on CME-24/BlackWorm

    Hi Nick, I would like to discuss somthing with you concerning an
    message you wrote years ago - can you join me at
    fge-3b7c(AT)myamail.com ?

    I tryed to contact you via your email address but I had no result.
    Thanks in advance.


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